We Are Winning This Election. We Are Losing This Election.

Jalen L. Martin
5 min readNov 2, 2020
Photo by Damon Winter/NYT

Friends, Republicans, Countrymen, lend me your ears. The results of Tuesday’s presidential election will be good for our party no matter what. I repeat: The results of Tuesday’s presidential election will be bad for our party no matter what. President Trump getting four more years is what our party needs. I repeat: President Trump not getting four more years is what our party needs.

If we want to expand on the conservative policy that this president has put into law and ensure that if another Supreme Court vacancy arises a conservative nominee is taken up within the next four years then we should see President Trump’s reelection as a mandate. Could you imagine a Joe Biden nominee to the highest court in the nation actually being an originalist instead of a legislator in-robe? How about the expansive new taxes and expensive new federal programs from this modern Democratic Party? President Trump could halt all of that in its tracks, preventing the country from sliding to the left like a bowling ball on a bad roll. We would have another round of middle-class tax cuts, small business stimulus relief, job creation, trade deals, peace deals in the middle east and North Korea, reduction in troops overseas, and so much more. As Jill Scott put it, we’d be “livin’ [our] lives like it’s golden”. That is what we all want out of the next four years, our best hope at least.

Enter the grim reality. Donald Trump leading the party for another four years will let all of that anger of the past quadrennial boil into the next. Downballot Senate and House candidates will face a shellacking in 2022 and 2024 so brutal that any policy proposals and desires from 45 will only be just that: proposals and desires. A new democratic Senate will be less moderate than the current minority caucus and an expanded Pelosi-led majority in the House will embolden them to create a wall at President Trump’s every turn, and it won’t be Mexico paying the price — it will be us. The democrats will have their own Tea Party-like wave built on the frustration of Americans with another term of Trump and the exhaustion of what is likely to be another impeachment fight for something that would somehow relate to the outcome of this upcoming election. The likelihood of Trump letting our party step out of his mold while he’s the one in the Oval Office is slim to none. Another 2016 style upset by the Teflon Don will leave the lasting impression on GOP officeholders and aspirants that the zero-filter, unapologetic, sparingly sympathetic, bring a bazooka to a thumb war match, can-do-no-wrong style is the blueprint to winning in politics. The consultants of republicans trying to be in congress or in the White House in the future will still hedge their bets that they can recreate a one of a kind candidate for themselves in their primary races, not realizing that they are just feeding a base that isn’t growing at the same rate as the majority of Americans that are stretched thin with the division that has objectively only amplified since Donald Trump gave a speech in the atrium of Trump Tower in 2015.

So the election is over and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are declared the winners by a landslide margin. Not only is the Blue Wall reestablished, but Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia all also shifted leftward to hand Joe Biden 71 Electoral College votes and Chuck Schumer 4 new Democrat senators in Cal Cunningham in NC, Mark Kelly in AZ, and both Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff in GA. Oh, I almost forgot about new Dem senators John Hickenlooper in CO, Theresa Greenfield in IA, and Sara Gideon in ME.

Photo by Jalen Martin

The Trump legacy will be stripped with each bill signing by President Joseph R. Biden. The first two years of this new administration would be like Democrats walking through the rainforest with machetes slinging through all of the brush in their way. With citizen Trump no longer seeming all that Teflon of a Don, the GOP will have a new mandate: figure out why they lost so badly. The new leadership at the RNC will be looking at the decline in support from suburban women, an uptick in support from Hispanic and Black men, and finding ways to drastically increase engagement with those communities through policy targeting, event hosting, and recruiting candidates that represent the people in those communities that had long been hard to reach even before the Trump years. The new GOP strategy will be focused on directly targeting minority and urban communities for voter-registration operations and hosting after school activities and events within those communities to build an entirely new generation of republicans that add to the party. The tent for republicans would widen so much that rural and urban voters would begin to blend in party affiliation in spots throughout the country such as Philadelphia and Miami while slowing down the inroads made by the DNC in Texas and Georgia. The new outreach will kneecap the Democrats in the midterms and given the near-certainty of a one-term Biden presidency, it would also stall a likely unpopular Vice President Kamala Harris at the start of her 2024 run to replace her boss. Republicans would be able to nominate a messenger with mass appeal to the electorate that has an array of support so vast that they would help drag the Senate and House candidates down-ballot across the finish line too.

Either way you slice it, we are winning this election. I repeat: Either way you slice it, we are losing this election.

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